Papers with event prediction
Diversity-aware Event Prediction based on a Conditional Variational Autoencoder with Reconstruction (D19-60)
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| Challenge: | Typical event sequences are important class of commonsense knowledge . previous work in event prediction uses sequence-to-sequence models . however, what can happen after a given event is usually diverse . |
| Approach: | They propose to incorporate a conditional variational autoencoder into seq2seq for its ability to represent diverse next events as a probabilistic distribution. |
| Outcome: | The proposed model outperforms deterministic models in terms of precision and recall . the proposed model is based on a conditional variational autoencoder . |
Debiasing Event Understanding for Visual Commonsense Tasks (2022.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | a recent study shows that object-based event understanding is purely likelihood-based, leading to incorrect event prediction. |
| Approach: | They propose to mitigate object-based event understanding by optimizing aggregation with association-based prediction. |
| Outcome: | The proposed approach improves visual commonsense reasoning tasks by combining do-calculus with association-based prediction. |
Retrieving Relevant Context to Align Representations for Cross-lingual Event Detection (2023.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | Existing approaches to cross-lingual transfer learning for event detection are mixed with event-discriminative context. |
| Approach: | They propose a method where representations are augmented with additional context to bridge the gap between languages while enriching contextual information to facilitate ED. |
| Outcome: | The proposed model performs well on three languages. |
MAVEN-ARG: Completing the Puzzle of All-in-One Event Understanding Dataset with Event Argument Annotation (2024.acl-long)
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Xiaozhi Wang, Hao Peng, Yong Guan, Kaisheng Zeng, Jianhui Chen, Lei Hou, Xu Han, Yankai Lin, Zhiyuan Liu, Ruobing Xie, Jie Zhou, Juanzi Li
| Challenge: | Existing datasets for event understanding have limited coverage due to complexity of tasks. |
| Approach: | They propose a dataset that augments MAVEN datasets with event argument annotations . they propose 98,591 events and 290,613 arguments obtained with laborious human annotation . |
| Outcome: | The proposed dataset is the first all-in-one dataset supporting event detection, event argument extraction, and event relation extraction. |
AnRe: Analogical Replay for Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting (2025.acl-long)
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| Challenge: | Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) are vital for event prediction, yet current methods face limitations. |
| Approach: | They propose a training-free Analogical Replay reasoning framework that uses LLMs to extract historical contexts and generate analogical reasoning examples as contextual inputs. |
| Outcome: | The proposed model outperforms existing training-free methods on four benchmarks. |
Conformal Event Prediction with Temporal Knowledge Graph (2026.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | Current event prediction methods lack rigorous uncertainty quantification, which limits their reliability for decision-making. |
| Approach: | They propose a conformal prediction framework that applies conformal predictions to event prediction to address this challenge. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework guarantees coverage while improving efficiency on three public datasets. |
ONSEP: A Novel Online Neural-Symbolic Framework for Event Prediction Based on Large Language Model (2024.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | TKGF is a technique that requires experience during testing and relying on a single short-term history. |
| Approach: | They propose a framework that integrates dynamic causal rule mining and dual history augmented generation to enhance event prediction. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework shows significant performance improvements across diverse datasets and significantly improves Hit@k. |
Is Your LLM Outdated? A Deep Look at Temporal Generalization (2025.naacl-long)
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| Challenge: | Existing methods to evaluate large language models are limited due to their inherent dynamic nature and the inherent dynamicity of language and information. |
| Approach: | They introduce a new evaluation framework that employs fresh text and event prediction for assessing LLMs’ temporal adaptability. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework shows significant temporal biases and a decline in performance over time. |
Event Detection: Gate Diversity and Syntactic Importance Scores for Graph Convolution Neural Networks (2020.emnlp-main)
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| Challenge: | Recent studies on event detection (ED) have shown that the syntactic dependency graph can be employed in graph convolutional neural networks (GCNs) but the computation of the hidden vectors in such graph-based models is agnostic to the trigger candidate words, leaving irrelevant information for the trigger candidates. |
| Approach: | They propose a mechanism to filter noisy information in the hidden vectors of graph-based models based on the information from the trigger candidate. |
| Outcome: | The proposed model achieves state-of-the-art on two ED datasets. |
Learning from a Friend: Improving Event Extraction via Self-Training with Feedback from Abstract Meaning Representation (2023.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | Existing data scarcity hinders the progress of event extraction, authors say . ACE-052 has 10 of the 33 event types with less than 80 annotations, authors claim . |
| Approach: | They propose a self-training with feedback framework that leverages large-scale unlabeled data to acquire feedback for each new event prediction from the unlabed data. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework improves event extraction models even when unlabeled data are unavailable. |